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Priyanka Saraf
MBA @ IIM Ahmedabad, Chartered Accountant
Institutional Equity Sales | Ex-Investment Banking
Prev. authored articles for Moneycontrol and Times of India
(views are personal)



MONSOON MISS AND THE FMCG RURAL TRADE
QUICK VIEW Ø FMCG's premium valuation is built on a sustained rural recovery. At ~34x forward PE, the sector continues to price in resilient rural demand through FY27, leaving limited room for disappointment. Ø The biggest risk is not rainfall itself, but its impact on rural income. Despite an improvement in July rains, uneven kharif sowing and strengthening El Niño conditions could weaken farm incomes if rainfall remains deficient through the rest of the season. Ø History
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


India Equities: The FII Context
Tracking the Global Journey of FII Capital QUICK VIEW 1. FII Sector allocation vs DII prima facie reflects meaningful overweight in financial services and underweight in IT, energy, and industrials. However, a comparison of FII vs MSCI reveals that financial services is a mere index replication and the real structural overweight lies in consumer discretionary and healthcare. 2. Two years of net selling saw money going to US tech, China, Taiwan semis, USD cash. The return case
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


Affordable Housing - Branch Visit Note
Three Lenders, Three Moats Home First Finance · Aadhar Housing Finance · Aavas Financiers QUICK VIEW All three lenders target the same customer earning roughly ₹40,000–50,000/month with loan sizes of ₹15–25 lakh. The similarities end there. Home First is the productivity leader: its 80-85% login-to-sanction and 2-day TAT are genuine, independently verified competitive advantages. Aadhar has built a franchise replication machine; the critical variable is whether per-emplo
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


Inside The Minds Of India’s Sharpest Investors
I attended the recent investor conference hosted by Groww – which had multiple interesting conversations happening simultaneously in different halls – and I must tell you it was extremely hard to choose which ones to attend and which to let go. While I was expecting the usual market conversations i.e., valuations, sectors, interest rates – what really stood out was something deeper. Almost every speaker, in different ways, kept returning to the same idea: We may be entering a
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


IndiGo’s December Disaster – Pilots and Expert-led Perspective
I hadn’t imagined that the same year I wrote about a fiasco at Air India, I would find myself writing about one at IndiGo (link to previous note – https://shorturl.at/o4Euv ). There are only two plausible explanations for what unfolded — and neither reflects well on the airline. The first is plain mismanagement. IndiGo failed to plan for the implementation of the revised Flight Duty Time Limitation (FDTL) norms, despite having ample notice. Pilot hiring and capacity buffers
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


Boeing May Crash the Party, but IndiGo Flies Clean
As market participants, conversations around stock market crashes are not unusual. But when a crash results in the loss of lives,...
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


From Boardrooms to Trade Rooms: A Week of Big Decisions
Indian stock markets had a stellar week, fuelled by easing geopolitical tensions and trade optimism. The Sensex soared 3.62% to a record...
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


Moments of Valor and Reflection: The Week That Was
What a week it has been—globally and in India! Among the numerous high-impact events, the most significant, proud, yet deeply concerning,...
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


Cementing India's Future: Ultratech's and Ambuja's Growth Outlook
India’s two largest cement companies viz Ultratech Cement (UTCEM) & Ambuja Cements (ACEM) recently released their Q4 & FY25 financial...
Priyanka Deepak Saraf


Raymond Lifestyle Ltd: Walk With Me Through the "Sheep's Back to Man's Back" Vapi Plant
As Raymond Lifestyle Ltd. (RLL) prepares for its upcoming listing in September 2024, the company hosted a plant visit and analyst meet at...
Priyanka Deepak Saraf
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